These picks were released to clients on February 21, 2026 at 10:25AM ET.
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Memphis at Miami

February 21, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

Quietly, the Grizzlies have covered six of their last seven games, including the past four. They have done this without injured Ja Morant, lending credence to the belief that they are a better defensive and point spread team without their most dominant player and that they are more team-oriented. That showed last night when eight of the nine Grizzlies who played reached double figures in a 123-114 home win against the Jazz. Yes, the Jazz are tanking. But Utah did upset Miami, 115-111, during the Heat's last home game. That was back on Feb. 9. The Heat could be distracted, having not played at home for so long. Miami is also playing without rest. The Heat beat the Hawks, 128-97, last night in Atlanta. That was their fourth UNDER in their last five games. Tyler Herro scored 24 points to lead Miami. Herro had missed the last 15 games due to a rib injury and returned with a flak jacket. It remains to be seen if Miami will hold him out of this back-to-back spot. The Heat are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games at home. The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of nine or more points. Take the Grizzlies and the UNDER.

2 units on Memphis +11 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 236 -119 (risk 1.5 to return 2.76)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Memphis Grizzlies
33
35
26
26
120
Miami Heat img
39
34
39
24
136
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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