Los Angeles at Phoenix

The Phoenix Suns went down 0-2 in this series and in a pivotal game three at home, they got a huge win. That isn't surprising as the Suns have been a cash cow at home all season long, and the playoffs are no exception as that was their fifth straight win and cover on home hardwood. The Lakers find themselves in a battle now, and this has not been a comfortable spot for them either. The Lakers are a dreadful 2-13 ATS in their last 15 as a favorite of 4.5 or less, suffering nine outright losses! What has been even more predictable is in that same situation as a favorite of 4.5 or less, they are 11-0 to the UNDER in the last 11. The Suns are cashing to a 37-18-1 ATS mark in their last 56 at home, making them a very live dog here. This total was set at 210.5 for game one and has soared over 10 points from what was deemed a fair price, anticipating the public surge of over players. The Suns have played to a 7-2 mark to the UNDER in their last nine as a home dog. I'll go with Phoenix and the UNDER here.