Los Angeles at Brooklyn

This one looks ugly as we have arguably the best team in the NBA facing the worst team in the NBA. That often leads to one team mailing it in, while the other fights hard to get a huge upset win. It is why home underdogs getting double-digits are 140-114 ATS since January, 2001. The opponent is never motivated as they just show up, don't exert much energy, grab the win and go home. When the line reaches 12+ points the results are even better as these horrible home dogs are 53-28 ATS since 1995. Ugly is the money side, always has been, and history shows us that. I’m on New Jersey in this one.