Indiana at Oklahoma City

Oklahoma City is 62-36-1 ATS, and 35-15-1 ATS at home this season, including the playoffs. The Thunder have covered four straight as favorites of 5.0-10.5 points and they have covered four of six overall, including a 30-point blowout against Minnesota as 9-point favorites to close out the Western Conference final, and the game still stayed UNDER. Indiana has gone UNDER five of six following a win and it is just 25-24 ATS on the road. The Pacers have had four days off since their clinching home victory in the Eastern Conference final against New York. That's not necessarily a good thing in the postseason as all the adrenaline will be gone, and the Pacers will have to ramp it up in hostile territory where the Thunder have won 43 of 50 home games in 2024-25. Oklahoma City won and covered both meetings this season, including a 132-111 rout at home on March 29. Take the Thunder and the UNDER.