Indiana at Atlanta

The Hawks have played well all year at home. But their last five home tilts have all been against top teams and might get caught relaxing here. They have been caught in this situation for most of the season and as a result, Atlanta owns just a 6-9 ATS mark at home vs. teams under .500. The Pacers have been under the radar all season and at 20-11 ATS in their last 31, it is their testament. They are also 8-3 ATS on the road against .500+ teams in their last 11, and 17-5 ATS overall against them in their last 22. They are certainly giant killers this season. They have been particularly strong off a double-digit loss going 10-1 ATS, so I like them with the points in this spot.