This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2025 at 12:49PM ET.
img NBA

Houston at Golden State

April 28, 2025
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Houston is down 2-1 in the series after losing Game 3 on the road, 104-93. The Rockets are 30-13 at home, counting the postseason, but 23-18 on the road. They're on a 6-12 ATS run. The Rockets will lean on their defense, which is ranked sixth in points surrendered and in field goal shooting allowed. Golden State can play great defense, too, eighth in points given up and 11th in shooting allowed. The Warriors are on a 12-8 run UNDER the total. The first three games saw an uptick in defensive intensity (3-0 UNDER the total), so back home court in a fierce defensive battle. Play Golden State + UNDER the total. 

2 units on Golden State -3.5 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 203 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Houston Rockets
26
31
23
26
106
Golden State Warriors img
28
22
32
27
109
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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