This pick was released to clients on May 05, 2025 at 12:15PM ET.
img NBA

Golden State at Minnesota

May 6, 2025
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Golden State had only one day between its exhausting seven-game series with Houston and Game 1 of this series, and the Warriors also have to travel for the road game at Minnesota. Golden State is 0-5 ATS its past five games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS overall after winning by at least 10 points. Minnesota is peaking at the right time, winning seven of their past eight games, including defeating the Lakers in five games, and covering the last three. The Timberwolves have covered six of seven against the Pacific Division and the Warriors are just 3-6 ATS their past nine games. Golden State has gone UNDER four of five on the road and the Timberwolves are 8-3 UNDER their past 11 games, 8-1 UNDER following a win. The Warriors stayed UNDER by 14 points while defeating Houston in Game 7 on Sunday even while shooting 48 percent and hitting 18 of 43 3-point tries. The teams combined for only 90 points in the first half. The Timberwolves have gone UNDER five of seven, including by 11.5 points in the final first round game against the Lakers. Minnesota held the Lakers to 96 points or fewer in three of the five games. Minnesota is on five days rest and in triple revenge against the Warriors. Three picks for this game: Take the Timberwolves. Take the first half UNDER, and bet the full game to go UNDER.

2 units on Minnesota -6.5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 103 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 210.5 -107 (risk 1.5 to return 2.9)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors img
18
26
36
19
99
Minnesota Timberwolves
20
11
29
28
88
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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