This pick was released to clients on May 03, 2025 at 11:50AM ET.
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Golden State at Houston

May 4, 2025
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Houston forced a Game 7 with a 115-107 win on Friday night and now Golden State's playoff experience will be needed to pull off a win on the road on Sunday. The Warriors missed 13 straight shots in a nearly seven-minute span in the fourth quarter and that was the main contributor to their downfall. However, Stephen Curry has shown he is capable of not only bouncing back from 9-for-23 shooting, but coming up big in clutch moments. He averages 32.6 points in Game 7s. The Warriors kept Game 6 relatively close even while missing 34 of 49 3-point tries. They have gone UNDER four of their past five road games at Houston and in an elimination game both teams will come out focused on the defensive ends similar to the first three games of the series, which all went UNDER. Draymond Green and Curry have each played in five Game 7s, including a win over Sacramento in 2023 when Curry scored 50 points. Take the Warriors on the moneyline and the first half UNDER.

1 unit on Golden State +120 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.2)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 100.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors img
23
28
19
33
103
Houston Rockets
19
20
23
27
89
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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