This pick was released to clients on April 30, 2025 at 1:37PM ET.
img NBA

Golden State at Houston

April 30, 2025
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Houston faces elimination in a tough, low-scoring series and the Rockets are favored in Game 5 as the Warriors still have a home game in their hip pocket, making this a letdown spot for Golden State. Three of the first four games have gone UNDER and the posted totals keep getting lower. Houston has won 10 of 13 home games and Golden State is just 2-4 ATS its past six games. The Rockets have gone UNDER five straight playoff games as a favorite and six straight as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5 points. Houston will come out strong on the defensive end in a must-win game and it's been a heated series with near-fights breaking out. Houston is 30-13 at home this season. Take the Rockets ATS, and bet the first-half and full game to stay UNDER.

1.5 units on Houston -4 (-106) (risk 1.5 to return 2.92)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -106 (risk 2 to return 3.89)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 204.5 -112 (risk 2 to return 3.79)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors
24
25
31
36
116
Houston Rockets img
40
36
31
24
131
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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