Houston faces elimination in a tough, low-scoring series and the Rockets are favored in Game 5 as the Warriors still have a home game in their hip pocket, making this a letdown spot for Golden State. Three of the first four games have gone UNDER and the posted totals keep getting lower. Houston has won 10 of 13 home games and Golden State is just 2-4 ATS its past six games. The Rockets have gone UNDER five straight playoff games as a favorite and six straight as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5 points. Houston will come out strong on the defensive end in a must-win game and it's been a heated series with near-fights breaking out. Houston is 30-13 at home this season. Take the Rockets ATS, and bet the first-half and full game to stay UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on April 30, 2025 at 1:37PM ET.
Golden State at Houston
April 30, 2025
1.5 units on Houston -4 (-106) (risk 1.5 to return 2.92)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -106 (risk 2 to return 3.89)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 204.5 -112 (risk 2 to return 3.79)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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