img NBA

Golden State at Denver

April 20, 2013
img5:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 211 -110 (risk 1 to return 1)
Result:
WIN

These teams used to play in front of totals in the 220s and 230s. Many things have changed, which is why they are still playing, instead of watching. The Denver Nuggets have become the top home team in the NBA. The Nuggets finished the season a picture perfect 23-0 at home, with 15 of the 23 by 10 points or more. What might be a greater testament for a team known specifically for offense over the years, is that 11 of the last 13 teams they have played at home have failed to score more than 100 points against them. Golden State has made strides as a team this season, but haven't exactly lit up the scoreboard vs. Denver, as they averaged just 97 points per game against the Nuggets in four games, excluding overtime minutes. I think another huge factor here is that these teams have not played each other in over three months, and the Nuggets won by 11 then. Denver is vastly improved now, especially at home. Golden St. is just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 vs. a winning team. Denver's commitment to the defensive end has seen them play 10 of their last 14 at home to the UNDER. Play on Denver, and take the UNDER.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors
25
23
16
31
95
Denver Nuggets img
28
16
27
26
97
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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