Detroit at Milwaukee

Detroit is a huge underdog but is getting outscored by just 3.5 points per game. This is the biggest they've been as a dog this season since opening night, a 103-102 loss at Miami as a +9.5 underdog. The Pistons are fifth in the NBA from the charity stripe (82.1%) and are 127-93 ATS after playing three straight non-conference tilts. Milwaukee is getting outscored by three points per game. They've been overvalued at 1-5 ATS, ranked 18th in free throw shooting (75%), while the defense is 25th in points surrendered (119.7 per game), 24th in field goal shooting allowed, and 21st at defending the 3-pointer. And the Bucks are 104-145 ATS at home after having won three of their last four. Play Detroit.