Detroit at Milwaukee

The Milwaukee Bucks finally got over the hump and won a must-win game at home to get the series to 2-1. If they had dropped that game they would have faced an impossible feat of coming back from 0-3. The win was more than a blowout for the Bucks because it clearly showed to others and more importantly to them, that they belong in this series and and deserve to win just as much as the once world champs. Detroit will surely come out inspired tonight after such a horrible showing. But, the spread of 7 points for the Pistons to cover against a home dog that needs to even the series is a bit high in my opinion. The Bucks understand the importance of this game - they must win to have any shot. And, they are off a confidence building game. The Pistons continue to struggle as road favorites as they are 0-5-1 of late, while the Bucks are 4-0-1 as a home underdog of 5-10 points. Furthermore, the Pistons are 1-4 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee and the Bucks are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 games this year. Look for Detroit to win but the Bucks to cover the large number.