Detroit at Milwaukee

Detroit is a bad offensive team, at #25 during the regular season in points scored, #29 in field goal shooting, #22 from three-point land, and #23 from the free throw line. They got routed in Game 1, 121-86, while shooting just 38%. The Pistons are 4-10-2 ATS on the road against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The news gets worse as Blake Griffin has an ailing left knee and might be done for the series. Detroit is also 32-15-4 UNDER the total on the road versus a team with a winning home record, plus 33-16-3 UNDER following a spread loss. Balanced Milwaukee was tops in the NBA in points (118.1 pg), #11 in points allowed, No. 1 in field goal shooting defense. The Bucks are 21-10-1 ATS against losing teams, 33-16-3 ATS versus the Eastern Conference. The UNDER is 6-2-1 when these teams clash, with the Bucks winning five meetings this season by 35, 10, 3, 23, and 22 points. Play Milwaukee and the UNDER.