Cleveland shot 58 percent, and James Harden hit three clutch shots in the final two minutes, and it was too much to overcome for Detroit, which lost 116-109 to cut its series lead to 2-1. The Pistons have lost 11 of their past 12 road games against the Cavaliers, and Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its past five road games overall. Cleveland has won nine straight at home. Harden came through in the end, but the Cavaliers also got 35 points from Donovan Mitchell. The Cavs are #5 in the NBA, scoring 119.1 points in home games while shooting 47.7 percent from the field. Cleveland has won all five home games in the playoffs with a 4-1 ATS mark. Take the Cavaliers.
This pick was released to clients on May 11, 2026 at 10:09AM ET.
Detroit at Cleveland
2025-26 NBA Championship
May 11, 2026
1 unit on Cleveland -3 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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