2004 Season NBA Basketball Past Picks

March 12, 2005


Denver at San Antonio

Saturday 03/12 08:35 PM Eastern

4 units on Denver +8 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: win

1 unit on Denver +310 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 4.1)  RESULT: win

This line looks way too high. You can certainly make an argument that Denver is playing the best basketball in the NBA right now. They've won seven straight and are 14-4 under new head coach George Karl. The addition of Wesley Person has opened up the court for Melo and KMart, and the addition of Najara has provided a huge boost in the hustle department. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two days rest and a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog are just 11-35 (24%) ATS since 1996. Road dogs off a win by 10 points or more facing an opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 77-40 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Denver is playing very well and Duncan and Ginobli are not at full strength. The Nugs are flying mile-high right now, scoring over 100 points per game and holding opponents to under 88 over their last five games. Their last game was a 111-98 schellacking of Portland and they are 17-5 ATS after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons. If you like underdog moneyline plays, you have a live one here. We take the points here for four stars, and if you do have access to a ML, hit it for one star.


2004-05 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
38 31 +3.78

with detailed analysis