Denver at Memphis

The Nuggets are 12-1 at home but just 7-7 on the road where they barely have outscored their competition. Memphis is a good enough home team to get it done here. The Grizz are also weak on the road but at home they are a winning team that plays solid defense. Denver is coming off yet another road loss as a favorite at New Orleans. This team is just 8-21 ATS dating back to last season coming off a road favorite game. Memphis meanwhile is off a confidence-building 13-point win over Indiana and the Grizzlies are 73-49 ATS after a double-digit win. On top of it, Memphis is seeking to avenge a 10-point loss to Denver in November in a game in which they allowed the Nuggets to score 133 points. Under Lionel Hollins, this Memphis team is 26-13 ATS revenging a loss including 19-6 if the Grizz gave up 100+ in that loss. I like Memphis to get it done here.