Dallas at Toronto

The Mavs have been a good road team this season, but this is a spot where I really like the Raptors. Toronto has gone 12-6 at home this season including 6-1 in their last seven here. Overall the Raptors have won nine of their last 12 games. Meanwhile, Dallas has played .500 ball over the past month. The Raptors' problem is of course defense, but the last three seasons the Mavs are just 25-31 straight-up on the road vs. teams that allow 99+ points per game. They are 10-21 straight-up on the road when the total is between 200 and 210. And, Dallas is just 55-75 ATS the past three seasons when coming off a win. Dallas posted a 28-point win over Toronto the last time these teams met. I look for the Raptors to exact their revenge here.