Dallas at San Antonio

The San Antonio Spurs started winning when they drafted Tim Duncan, and have never stopped. Duncan is now retired, so it has been a long stretch of winning. Winning does not come without a price, and that price here is inflated at around 17 points. For all the winning the Spurs have done, they have only been a 17-point or more favorite eight times, and just twice since the start of the 2004 season. The Mavericks may not be the Mavs of recent years, but they have been the best road dog team in the NBA for a long time, running at 288-222-9 ATS 56.5% in over 500 games. This is a natural in-state rivalry and Dallas is 31-23 -1 57.4% as a road dog facing the Spurs. That includes 5-3 ATS in the last eight, and 3-0 ATS when taking 13 or more. Play on Dallas.