Dallas at San Antonio

We get some line value on the Spurs here as Tim Duncan and Tony Parker are likely to sit this one out, but the Spurs are winning differently this season and are 3-0 at home. While the Spurs were dependent on their three stars in the past for 35-40+ minutes a night, no one on this year's squad is getting more than 30 minutes a night. The Spurs can absorb the losses with the best depth they have had in years as ten players are averaging 18 minutes a night or more. The Mavs are still easing Josh Howard back into the lineup, so his minutes and production are down and the depth isn't the same. Mavs worst role is as a small road favorite of less than five, where they have failed miserably over the years to a 30-62-2 ATS mark. Spurs don't allow 100+ often, but when they do they seem to find a greater resolve and are 12-2 ATS the last 14 times they allowed 100+ in their last game. I'm riding with San Antonio in this one.