Dallas at Oklahoma City

The Oklahoma City Thunder broke a long Dallas streak where they had not lost ATS in 14 straight games. They now come home feeling good about themselves, and they are 30-11 in this building during the regular season. The Thunder is also 5-1 in the playoffs for a hard to beat 35-12. Dallas has good numbers because of the recent streak, but one area they have struggled in is following a game where they allowed 100+ points, as they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six. The opener saw a total set at 194.5 at tipoff, but two big scoring games have taken a fair total up almost 7 points, and the public is over-crazy at nearly 70% on the over. In a playoffs game three after back-to-back overs, have been 65%+ to the UNDER in game three, as the oddsmakers over-adjust for the over-betting public. The Thunder have won their last four as a small favorite from -4.5 or less, so I’ll take them here along with the UNDER.