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Dallas at New Orleans

January 21, 2012
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

After a bad start the defending champs have put it all together to win 8 of 11 games. This is a deep and talented team that squashes weak teams. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, plus 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of -5.0 to -10.5. Give them a day of rest and they are sensational, as well with the Mavericks 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games playing on one day’s rest. Dallas is playing great defense again allowing 88.8 points per game - third best in the league. The Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. They take on a bad New Orleans team that got rid of its top two players from last season in Chris Paul and David West. And they are playing like a rebuilding team with no talent, last in the division and No. 28 in points scored. The Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games playing on one day’s rest. The Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the favorite is 13-6-2 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Play the Mavericks. In addition, I see a defensive game. Dallas is dynamite defensively on an 11-2 run UNDER the total in its last 13 games, plus the UNDER is 4-1 in the Mavericks’ last five games as a road favorite. The Hornets are No. 28 in points scored, 4-1 UNDER the total in their last five home games as well as 11-3 UNDER the total in the Hornets last 14 vs. Western Conference. Take the Mavericks and play the UNDER.

2 units on Dallas -5.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
27
14
23
19
83
New Orleans Pelicans
23
18
12
28
81
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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