This pick was released to clients on March 12, 2026 at 12:18PM ET.
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Dallas at Memphis

March 12, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

The Mavericks are in the midst of an eight-game losing streak that has dropped them to 21-44 on the season. They're 6-1 UNDER in their past seven, and 20-11 UNDER on the road this year, including the past three in a row. Cooper Flagg has been the lone bright spot, averaging 20.1 PPG, but he was held to 14 points in Atlanta on Tuesday, shooting 6-of-16. Dallas lacks potent secondary options, and with Klay Thompson (rest) listed as doubtful for tonight, the Mavs lose their top threat from beyond the arc. Memphis has lost five in a row and resembles a MASH unit, with Ja Morant and Zach Edey on the shelf. A lack of depth has dropped this team to 18th in second-half scoring at 56.5 PPG. These teams are both in the bottom third defensively for points allowed, but neither has the roster to take advantage. Dallas is also at the tail end of a brutal road trip. I'm on this one staying UNDER. 

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 239.5 -107 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Mavericks img
34
31
21
34
120
Memphis Grizzlies
22
32
30
28
112
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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