Cleveland at Toronto

Cleveland has been a double-digit dog in each of the last three games, covering twice, including a 117-109 straight up win at San Antonio as a +11.5 underdog. Toronto is banged up and stumbling, losing four of the last six. Raptors guard Fred VanVleet (knee) has missed the last three games. Toronto is also 6-18 ATS at home against teams that allow 48% shooting or worse. Cleveland is on a 15-5-1 spread run against the Raptors, including 7-2-1 ATS in Toronto, so back the big dog to keep it close. Play Cleveland.