This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2025 at 12:49PM ET.
img NBA

Cleveland at Miami

April 28, 2025
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Cleveland can play any style, but they are having little trouble with Miami's slower approach. Cleveland is up 3-0, holding the Heat to 100, 112, and 87 points. During the regular season, the Cavs were 12th in points given up, third in shooting allowed, and 13th in defending beyond the arc. The second-leading scorer, Darius Garland, missed Game 3 and is questionable to play. Miami was seventh in points given up and 12th in shooting allowed, while the offense was 24th in points scored and 18th in shooting. Miami shot 42.1% at home in Game 3 and mustered just 42 first-half points. Play Cleveland + UNDER the total + First Half UNDER the total. 

2 units on Cleveland -8.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 103.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 212 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Cavaliers img
43
29
39
27
138
Miami Heat
17
16
30
20
83
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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