Charlotte at Oklahoma City

The Thunder have won five in a row and they need to keep winning to stave off a run by Denver. They get Charlotte tonight, a team that is 11-23 on the road, scoring only 90.6 per game. The Thunder can really score (107.7 per game at home) so I don't see this game staying close. Charlotte's defense is low-pressure and that's the kind of team that OKC thrives on. The Thunder are 24-11 ATS this season vs. teams like the Bobcats that force under 15 turnovers per game. OKC is also 17-7 ATS vs. teams that average under eight steals per game. I like the Thunder to win by double digits. I also like the OVER. The Thunder are 21-11 OVER at home this season, thanks to an average score of nearly 210 per game. As a favorite, they are 29-16 OVER this season. The Bobcats are 6-2 OVER in their last eight vs. teams at .600 or better. Take OKC and the OVER here.