Boston could not overcome an incredible shooting night by Jimmy Butler in Game 6 as he scored 47 points, including 17 in the fourth quarter as Miami won, 111-103, on Friday. It will be difficult to duplicate that performance as we go to Game 7, and the Celtics are favored even though the game is at Miami. The Celtics had played two great defensive games in Games 4 and 5, and both of those went UNDER by an average of 26.3 points. Sunday's elimination game will be another defensive battle, and Boston obviously will make adjustments to contain Butler. The Celtics have covered six of seven as road favorites, and they are 20-6-1 ATS in their past 27 road games (9-4 ATS overall when playing with one day of rest). They are just slight favorites in this game, meaning they basically just have to win the game to get the money. The Heat are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 playoff games as underdogs. Miami is 7-3 UNDER at home and 11-5 UNDER its last 16 games overall. Also, Miami has stayed UNDER seven of 10 following a win. Take the Celtics on the moneyline for a Max Play, and also back the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on May 29, 2023 at 11:37AM ET.
Boston at Miami
May 29, 2022
8:45 PM Eastern
2 units on Boston -145 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.38)
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 197 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
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