This pick was released to clients on May 23, 2023 at 11:21AM ET.
img NBA

Boston at Miami

May 23, 2023
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Miami -1.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total OVER 216 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

Surprisingly, Miami is only a small favorite in Game 4 even though the Heat humiliated and dominated the Celtics on Sunday night, while Boston has shown no signs of interest in prolonging this series. Miami is getting contributions from all over the place. It was Gabe Vincent scoring 29 points in Game 3, and Duncan Robinson adding 22 as the Heat shot 57 percent and went 19-for-35 from 3-point distance. Normally in the regular season, a smart bet is to be on a team that was embarrassed its previous game, but the Celtics are completely demoralized knowing they have no chance to come back and win the series since it hasn't happened in 149 tries in NBA history. There's no sense in trying to redeem themselves when the season will be over anyway. All three games have gone OVER, including by 16 points in Game 3, and five of the past six meetings have gone OVER. Boston is 13-3 OVER playing with one day of rest and 11-3 OVER its past 14 games overall. Miami is 13-3 OVER after winning by double digits. Take the Heat (Max Play), and the OVER (Max Play).

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boston Celtics img
23
27
38
28
116
Miami Heat
29
27
23
20
99
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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