This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2025 at 11:21AM ET.
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Atlanta at Oklahoma City

December 29, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern

This may seem like a significant number for Oklahoma City to lay, but it's the way to go in this matchup. The Thunder are 15-1 at home with the lone loss coming to the Spurs. If you discount the Spurs, then Oklahoma City has covered its last five home games all as a double-digit favorite. The Thunder's previous six wins have all been by at least 16 points. The Thunder are 7-0 ATS in their past seven games laying 11 or more points. They just dismantled the 76ers, 129-104, as 17.5-point home favorites on Sunday. Oklahoma City has beaten Atlanta by at least 16 points in each of the past three meetings. The Hawks have dropped six straight. The Hawks surrender an average of 13 more points per game than the Thunder, who are the No. 1 defensive team in the NBA. Atlanta is permitting an NBA-worst 131.8 points per game in its last six games. There is a chance the Hawks will be down their two top scorers and best big man. Jalen Johnson and center Kristaps Porzingis are each out due to illness, and Trae Young is questionable with a right knee contusion. Take the Thunder.

2 units on Oklahoma City -16 (-108) (risk 2 to return 3.85)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Atlanta Hawks
38
36
29
26
129
Oklahoma City Thunder img
35
35
43
27
140
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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