Atlanta at Milwaukee

The Milwaukee Bucks have now become a product of their own success. Where the pendulum of value was once on them, is now heading away from them. The Bucks have over-achieved and now the price will be paid as they are a solid favorite vs. a very good team. The Hawks are 23-12 over the last 35, so they aren't exactly rolling over. They have also come up big as a dog of 5-10.5 where they are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29. This one could go either way, so the points are likely decisive here, and I'll go with Atlanta.