With the series tied 2-2, we can expect both defenses to be zoned in tonight. These teams are ranked No. 2 and 3 in the postseason at defending the 3-pointer. Minnesota caught a break (and an elbow) when Victor Wembanyama was ejected in the second quarter of Game 4 on Sunday. But they have to head out on the road for Game 5, 2-3 in the playoffs away from home, after going 23-18 during the regular season. San Antonio is fourth in the playoffs in points given up (102.3 per game) and No. 1 in field goal shooting allowed (41.1%). The Spurs are 35-10 at home this season, counting the postseason, and back home to win the game with a fierce defensive first half. Combine the Spurs to win straight-up on the moneyline and the first-half UNDER 106 into a 2-team parlay at +143 odds.
This pick was released to clients on May 12, 2026 at 11:04AM ET.
San Antonio (NBA-516) MONEYLINE + Minnesota at San Antonio (NBA) First-Half UNDER
2025-26 NBA Championship
May 12, 2026
2 units on 1 Team Parlay: (-365) (risk 2 to return 2.55)
Result:
WIN
WIN
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get $50 of premium NBA picks free.
Join 410,604 Subscribers!