Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

The Milwaukee Bucks have had a lot of difficulty getting traction this season. The Bucks are just 29-24 and have dropped seven of their last 10 games. They visit the Timberwolves tonight, who come into the game at 30-24, and winners of seven of their last 10. They will once again be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and his 31.6 PPG. They may also be without Damien Lillard who is recovering from a hamstring injury. That's 57 PPG, 17 RPG, and 13 assists that won't be on the floor tonight. Minnesota finds themselves in a similar situation, dealing with multiple injuries, but the difference is the T-Wolves have kept finding ways to win. The Bucks are just 10-15 on the road this season. I like Minnesota in this one.

Minnesota's offense is ninth in the NBA in shooting (48.8%), including third from 3-point land (39.1%). They began this road trip with a 129-123 loss at Chicago sailing over by 30+ points. The Timberwolves are on a 69-47 run OVER the total on the road, including 43-27 OVER as a road dog. Milwaukee is second in the league in scoring (123.3 points per game), fourth in shooting (49.6%), and eighth from long range. The defense, though, is 24th in points surrendered and 18th in shooting allowed. The Bucks are 27-17 OVER the total as a favorite, plus 27-15 OVER after a defeat. Take Minnesota/Milwaukee OVER the total.

The Milwaukee Bucks maybe 22-12 but there is no doubt this team is struggling to win games since Kris Middleton was injured. The losing streak has reached 4 games, and the 4 losses have averaged -13ppg. Outside of a game vs Utah, their last 6 opponents have all scored 114 or more points and averaged over 125ppg. That is a huge obstacle to overcome. Minnesota is just 16-19 on the season. The Timberwolves have also lost 4 straight, but have been a lot more competitive as 3 of the losses were by a combined 9 points. The Bucks may get the win here, but if they do, it isn't going to be easy. I will take the points and make the play on Minnesota.