Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Point Spread Picks

Heat vs. Raptors Spread Picks

Get Heat vs. Raptors point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Heat vs. Raptors game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Toronto Raptors on the -4 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Toronto would win by a score of 118.3 to 116.1 with Toronto winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on April 09, 2026 at 11:26AM ET.

NBA

Miami at Toronto

April 9, 2026

7:00 PM Eastern

The Raptors have owned the Heat this season, winning and covering in all three meetings while outscoring Miami by a combined 57 points. This includes a 121-95 win against the Heat as a 2.5-point home favorite two days ago. These victories are why Toronto is 44-35 and has control of the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat are 41-38 and resigned to their fate as a play-in playoff team. The Raptors have held the Heat to 39.5 FG% and 35.0 3P% while forcing 17.3 turnovers per game. The Raptors have the fifth-best defensive rating and more incentive than Miami to win this game. The Heat are not playing well. They are 3-9 SU and ATS in their last 12 games. Miami's defense has slipped noticeably since mid-March. The Heat have allowed at least 121 points in 10 of their last 12 games. The Heat also could be without their leading scorer, Norman Powell. He is questionable with a groin injury. Take the Raptors on the moneyline. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Miami Heat

26

24

40

24

114

Toronto Raptors

32

37

33

26

128

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on Toronto Raptors on the -2.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Toronto would win by a score of 122.2 to 118.5 with Toronto winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Miami Heat

27

24

25

19

95

Toronto Raptors

32

32

30

27

121

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -5.5 ATS. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 116.7 to 111.3 with Miami winning on the moneyline, Toronto winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Toronto Raptors

21

30

31

30

112

Miami Heat

16

28

23

24

91

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -4.5 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 119.9 to 114.7 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Toronto Raptors

23

23

28

32

106

Miami Heat

22

30

25

19

96

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Toronto Raptors on the +3.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 114.1 to 108.5 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on February 21, 2025 at 11:47AM ET.

NBA

Miami at Toronto

February 21, 2025

7:30 PM Eastern

The Miami Heat are just 25-28 on the season, as the season is coming down to the home stretch. That record is good for No. 8 in the East and a ticket to the play-in round. They will take on a Toronto team that is 17-38 and has little hope of extending their season. This will be the first game back for both teams after the all-star break, and typically, after a week or so of rest, a team will come out playing well on offense but not up to speed on the defensive end of the floor. When both teams are playing their first game after the All-Star break they are 236-203-17 to the OVER, which is right around 54%, and blindly profitable. I like OVER the total in this one.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

O

F

Miami Heat

30

27

27

23

13

120

Toronto Raptors

19

29

32

27

4

111