New Orleans comes off a 116-113 loss to the Clippers. The Clippers trailed most of the game and never led by more than four. It was the Pelicans' second cover in four games, along with a 132-129 OT game against Denver as a +8.5 dog. Miami is a big favorite but they're not a great offensive team ranked 20th in scoring, 21st in field goal shooting, and 14th from the free throw line. They've been without Jimmy Butler for the last five games. Miami is also in a difficult situational spot coming home from a three-game road trip. They've also played five of their last seven on the road and Miami is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite. Play New Orleans.
Previous Matchups & Picks
February 11, 2026 8:00pm ET
@
Miami Heat
#545
New Orleans Pelicans
#546
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-110)
ATS
-1.5 (-110)
+103
Moneyline
-123
OVER 233 (-110)
Total
UNDER 233 (-110)
Heat vs. Pelicans Spread Picks
Get Heat vs. Pelicans point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Heat vs. Pelicans game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the +1.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 117.9 to 116.8 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat 
31
27
38
27
123
New Orleans Pelicans
25
30
30
26
111
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January 4, 2026 6:00pm ET
@
New Orleans Pelicans
#573
Miami Heat
#574
Lines & Odds
+8 (-110)
ATS
-8 (-110)
+243
Moneyline
-300
OVER 247.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 247.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -8 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 126.0 to 118.7 with Miami winning on the moneyline, New Orleans winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
New Orleans Pelicans
39
23
15
29
106
Miami Heat
43
27
23
32
125
April 11, 2025 8:00pm ET
@
Miami Heat
#523
New Orleans Pelicans
#524
Lines & Odds
-15 (-110)
ATS
+15 (-110)
-1245
Moneyline
+719
OVER 214.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 214.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on New Orleans Pelicans on the +15 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 113.6 to 103.7 with Miami winning on the moneyline, New Orleans winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
35
36
39
43
153
New Orleans Pelicans
24
30
18
32
104
January 1, 2025 7:30pm ET
@
New Orleans Pelicans
#519
Miami Heat
#520
Lines & Odds
+9 (-110)
ATS
-9 (-110)
+291
Moneyline
-373
OVER 220 (-110)
Total
UNDER 220 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -9 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 115.6 to 105.4 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on January 01, 2025 at 11:32AM ET.
NBA
New Orleans at Miami
January 1, 2025
7:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
New Orleans Pelicans
24
27
25
32
108
Miami Heat
36
20
34
29
119
October 13, 2024 3:30pm ET
@
New Orleans Pelicans
#567
Miami Heat
#568
Lines & Odds
+3 (-115)
ATS
-3 (-105)
+125
Moneyline
-145
OVER 218.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 218.5 (-110)
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New Orleans would win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0, New Orleans winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
New Orleans Pelicans
20
29
18
32
99
Miami Heat
22
34
22
23
101
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