Previous Matchups & Picks

February 21, 2026 8:00pm ET
@
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
#545
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
#546

Lines & Odds

+11.5 (-110)
ATS
-11.5 (-115)
+413
Moneyline
-558
OVER 238.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 238.5 (-110)

Grizzlies vs. Heat Spread Picks

Get Grizzlies vs. Heat point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Grizzlies vs. Heat game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -11.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 123.5 to 114.2 with Miami winning on the moneyline, Memphis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on February 21, 2026 at 10:25AM ET.
img NBA

Memphis at Miami

February 21, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

Quietly, the Grizzlies have covered six of their last seven games, including the past four. They have done this without injured Ja Morant, lending credence to the belief that they are a better defensive and point spread team without their most dominant player and that they are more team-oriented. That showed last night when eight of the nine Grizzlies who played reached double figures in a 123-114 home win against the Jazz. Yes, the Jazz are tanking. But Utah did upset Miami, 115-111, during the Heat's last home game. That was back on Feb. 9. The Heat could be distracted, having not played at home for so long. Miami is also playing without rest. The Heat beat the Hawks, 128-97, last night in Atlanta. That was their fourth UNDER in their last five games. Tyler Herro scored 24 points to lead Miami. Herro had missed the last 15 games due to a rib injury and returned with a flak jacket. It remains to be seen if Miami will hold him out of this back-to-back spot. The Heat are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games at home. The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of nine or more points. Take the Grizzlies and the UNDER.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Memphis Grizzlies
33
35
26
26
120
Miami Heat img
39
34
39
24
136

NBA Pro Pick Results

Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.

NBANBA All Playoff Picks last 5.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
409
337
+56.57
NBANBA Free Picks last 16.2 years
Wins
Losses
Units
531
488
+39.55
NBANBA Max Plays last 3.2 years
Wins
Losses
Units
416
369
+16.16
October 24, 2025 8:00pm ET
@
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
#543
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
#544

Lines & Odds

+3 (-110)
ATS
-3 (-110)
+129
Moneyline
-151
OVER 232.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 232.5 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Memphis Grizzlies on the -3 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 116.8 to 114.2 with Memphis winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 24, 2025 at 1:04PM ET.
img NBA

Miami at Memphis

October 24, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern

Miami covered its opener, losing a close one at Orlando, winning the rebounding battle, nailing 12 treys, and shooting over 48%. The offense is upgraded with newcomer Norman Powell, who had 28 points in the opener, while Erik Spoelstra is a fine coach, one who knows how to teach defense. Miami is on a 14-7 ATS run, including 5-2 ATS on the road. Memphis still prefers to run under coach Tuomas Iisalo, who gets the full-time nod after being an interim late last season. They nudged New Orleans in the opener, 128-122, despite 17 turnovers. Memphis is on an 11-25-1 spread run, including 6-12 ATS at home. Play Miami. 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat img
44
42
28
32
146
Memphis Grizzlies
25
22
29
38
114
April 3, 2025 7:30pm ET
@
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
#555
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
#556

Lines & Odds

-5.5 (-110)
ATS
+5.5 (-110)
-229
Moneyline
+185
OVER 226 (-110)
Total
UNDER 226 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Memphis Grizzlies on the -5.5 ATS. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 114.2 to 113.1 with Memphis winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on April 03, 2025 at 12:07PM ET.
img NBA

Memphis at Miami

April 3, 2025
img7:30 PM Eastern

The Miami Heat are rolling as we head towards the playoffs. The Heat's 124-103 win last night in Boston opened some eyes, marking their sixth straight-up win in a row, and eighth straight ATS. Memphis is suddenly in a three-way tie for the #6 seed in the West, mired in a four-game losing streak. The Grizzlies have lost seven of eight, and they are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games. I'm riding the momentum with this red-hot Miami team. Grab the points and back the Heat to cover. 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Memphis Grizzlies img
22
27
35
26
110
Miami Heat
27
23
35
23
108
March 15, 2025 8:00pm ET
@
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
#539
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
#540

Lines & Odds

+6 (-110)
ATS
-6 (-115)
+193
Moneyline
-236
OVER 224.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 224.5 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Memphis Grizzlies on the -6 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 117.9 to 110.1 with Memphis winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on March 15, 2025 at 11:13AM ET.
img NBA

Miami at Memphis

March 15, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern

Miami will try to snap a losing streak as it travels to Memphis, which also lost 133-124 to Cleveland last night, as both teams are playing on consecutive nights. The Heat have covered four of five as underdogs, and the Grizzlies have been 0-7 ATS in their past seven games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Memphis is 0-6 ATS its past six as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS at home against teams with losing road records. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS their past four as home favorites of 5.0-10.5 points, and they are on a 1-9 ATS run overall. Memphis has gone UNDER five of six games, and Miami has stayed UNDER six of seven. Four of the past five meetings have gone UNDER. Miami is 15-5 UNDER on the road against Memphis. Take the Heat and the UNDER.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
27
21
19
24
91
Memphis Grizzlies img
38
25
31
31
125
October 18, 2024 8:00pm ET
@
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
#547
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
#548

Lines & Odds

-9 (-110)
ATS
+9 (-110)
+290
Moneyline
-365
OVER 223 (-110)
Total
UNDER 223 (-110)

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0, Memphis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat img
28
32
25
29
114
Memphis Grizzlies
24
38
29
18
109

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