Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Indiana subconsciously had a letdown, given its 3-1 series lead going into the game and the fact that it still had a home game to play. The Knicks played like the desperate team they were in winning 111-94 on Thursday night. Now the emotional swings turn toward the Pacers, who have won 16 of their past 20 home games and 15 of 20 overall. They have covered four straight following a loss and five in a row after an ATS loss. New York is 0-4 ATS following a win, and the Pacers are expected to shoot better than they did in Game 5, with a .471 field goal percentage overall and a .352 percentage from 3-point range at home this season. The Knicks haven't won two games in a row since May 7. Take the Pacers.

New York will pull out all the stops as it faces a do-or-die situation tonight, down 3-1 in the series. The Knicks obviously will have to do a better job containing Tyrese Haliburton, who put on a historical performance in Game 4. The Knicks will also need to cut down on their turnovers after averaging 15 per game in the conference round. New York has won eight of its past 10 Thursday home games. The Knicks got strong performances from their three leading scorers, Jalen Brunson (31 points), Karl-Anthony Towns (24 points) and OG Anunoby (22 points) on Tuesday, but were victimized by 17 turnovers. Towns is suffering from a left knee contusion, but is expected to play. Tom Thibodeau's penchant for having good defensive teams will have to come through tonight. Take the Knicks.

Indiana is home again, up 2-1 in the series. They've been the better team, failing to go up 3-0 after letting a 20-point lead slip away in the last game. Indiana is the second-highest scoring team in the postseason (117.6 ppg), plus No. 1 in shooting (49.9%) and from 3-point land (39.6%). The Pacers were an uncharacteristic 5-of-25 from 3-point land in Game 3. New York has allowed 100, 115, 132, and 140 points in the last four meetings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. When the Pacers have scored 114+ points against the Bucks, Cavaliers, or Knicks, they've gone 10-0. When they fall below that, they're 0-3. The Pacers are on a 10-4 ATS run and are primed for a strong bounce-back effort at home. Play Indiana.