Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Point Spread Picks

It is crunch time in the NBA as we are down to the regular-season home stretch, and teams are playing for playoff seeding. The Milwaukee Bucks have already sealed their fate. The Bucks sit at 30-45 on the season, not even in reach of the play-in round. The Rockets are going to finish in the NBA West's top 6 teams unless they have a total collapse. The Bucks have shown a desire to buckle down when playing with a sense of revenge. Their last 39 revenge games show them playing 26-13 to the UNDER since the start of last season, including 14-4 UNDER if they are off a home loss. Make the play UNDER the total. 

You never hope for an injury. But the Bucks may have gotten extremely lucky when their starting point guard, Kevin Porter Jr., suffered a knee injury that required surgery. Unheralded Ryan Rollins has been a revelation replacing Porter. Rollins is averaging 16.7 points and 5.4 assists a game, while shooting 51.8 percent from the floor and making 85 percent of his free throws. Giannis Antetokounmpo also is off to a great start living up to his superstar status averaging 32.3 points, 12.6 rebounds, 6.3 assists, and 1.9 blocks per game. Milwaukee is 4-1 SU and ATS at home. The Rockets' five-game winning streak came to a crashing end with a disappointing, 121-110, road loss to the Spurs as 4-point favorites two days ago. Houston's biggest defensive weakness is defending against 3-pointers where it ranks 14th. Milwaukee is the fourth-most accurate 3-point shooting team. Take the Bucks. 

Houston is 14-6 straight up and 13-6-1 ATS at home and the Rockets are in revenge mode after losing 128-119 on the road in the first meeting this season. The Rockets shot 53 percent in that game and it wasn't enough as the Bucks shot 50 percent and Damian Lillard poured in 39 points. Look for a different result tonight as Houston looks to bounce back from one of its worst performances of the season losing 122-95 to Minnesota last night while being outrebounded 51-39 and outscored 60-46 in the paint. The Rockets had won and covered their two previous games against Detroit and Brooklyn and they are 7-1 ATS as underdogs of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-2 ATS after losing by double digits at home. Milwaukee got swept in a home-and-home series with Indiana before barely defeating lowly San Antonio on Thursday. Take the points with the Rockets as a Max Play.