Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Point Spread Picks

Heat vs. Warriors Spread Picks

Get Heat vs. Warriors point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Heat vs. Warriors game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Golden State Warriors on the -5 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 123.0 to 113.6 with Golden State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on January 19, 2026 at 11:39AM ET.

NBA

Miami at Golden State

January 19, 2026

10:00 PM Eastern

Miami has won and covered the past three meetings, including 110-96 in the first one this season on Nov. 19. The Heat come off an impressive 122-120 victory over Oklahoma City on Saturday, when Bam Adebayo scored 30 points, and Miami went ahead to stay on Andrew Wiggins' 3-pointer with 31 seconds left. The Heat shot only 37 percent, but hit 20 3-pointers to pull off their third cover in four games. Golden State has won three in a row, but the Warriors could be looking ahead to tomorrow's game against Toronto, which beat the Warriors in overtime a few weeks ago. Golden State is 3-8 ATS in its past 11 games against teams with winning records and 3-8 ATS after winning by at least 10 points in its previous game. Grab the points with the Heat.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Miami Heat

34

32

27

19

112

Golden State Warriors

36

34

34

28

135

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Golden State Warriors on the +10.5 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 118.7 to 115.3 with Miami winning on the moneyline, Golden State winning on the spread.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Golden State Warriors

20

25

26

25

96

Miami Heat

29

20

20

41

110

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Golden State Warriors on the -4.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 110.7 to 102.9 with Golden State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Golden State Warriors

22

18

30

16

86

Miami Heat

28

29

26

29

112

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Golden State Warriors on the -9 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 112.4 to 108.3 with Golden State winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Miami Heat

29

32

23

30

114

Golden State Warriors

23

25

30

20

98

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Golden State Warriors on the -5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 110.4 to 108.9 with Golden State winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on March 26, 2024 at 11:27AM ET.

NBA

Golden State at Miami

March 26, 2024

7:40 PM Eastern

A pair of strong defensive squads clash here, with Golden State ranking 11th in the league for field goal shooting allowed, and at defending beyond the arc. The Warriors are on an 11-6 run UNDER the total, and they won't be in a good mood after a loss at Minnesota blowing a 12-point halftime lead. The offense is seventh in scoring and 10th from 3-point land. Miami is a defensive-oriented team ranked fourth in points given up (108.9 per game), 10th in field goal shooting allowed, and 12th at defending the 3-pointer. The offense, though, is just 27th in points scored and 23rd in shooting. Miami is on a 1-3 SU/ATS run at home along with a 1-5 spread run on home court. They're also on an 11-5 run UNDER the total and this shapes up as an intense defensive duel. Take Golden State + UNDER the total.  

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Golden State Warriors

24

29

32

28

113

Miami Heat

26

29

20

17

92