Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Houston forced a Game 7 with a 115-107 win on Friday night and now Golden State's playoff experience will be needed to pull off a win on the road on Sunday. The Warriors missed 13 straight shots in a nearly seven-minute span in the fourth quarter and that was the main contributor to their downfall. However, Stephen Curry has shown he is capable of not only bouncing back from 9-for-23 shooting, but coming up big in clutch moments. He averages 32.6 points in Game 7s. The Warriors kept Game 6 relatively close even while missing 34 of 49 3-point tries. They have gone UNDER four of their past five road games at Houston and in an elimination game both teams will come out focused on the defensive ends similar to the first three games of the series, which all went UNDER. Draymond Green and Curry have each played in five Game 7s, including a win over Sacramento in 2023 when Curry scored 50 points. Take the Warriors on the moneyline and the first half UNDER.

Combine the Astros (-235) and the Warriors (-240) into a 2-team parlay at +102 odds.

Houston faces elimination in a tough, low-scoring series and the Rockets are favored in Game 5 as the Warriors still have a home game in their hip pocket, making this a letdown spot for Golden State. Three of the first four games have gone UNDER and the posted totals keep getting lower. Houston has won 10 of 13 home games and Golden State is just 2-4 ATS its past six games. The Rockets have gone UNDER five straight playoff games as a favorite and six straight as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5 points. Houston will come out strong on the defensive end in a must-win game and it's been a heated series with near-fights breaking out. Houston is 30-13 at home this season. Take the Rockets ATS, and bet the first-half and full game to stay UNDER.

Houston is down 2-1 in the series after losing Game 3 on the road, 104-93. The Rockets are 30-13 at home, counting the postseason, but 23-18 on the road. They're on a 6-12 ATS run. The Rockets will lean on their defense, which is ranked sixth in points surrendered and in field goal shooting allowed. Golden State can play great defense, too, eighth in points given up and 11th in shooting allowed. The Warriors are on a 12-8 run UNDER the total. The first three games saw an uptick in defensive intensity (3-0 UNDER the total), so back home court in a fierce defensive battle. Play Golden State + UNDER the total. 

It's been a defensive series with the losing team getting 85 and 94 points in the first two games, including 34 and 46 first-half points. Houston's defense was sixth in points given up during the regular season, sixth in shooting allowed, and 11th at defending beyond the arc. Golden State's defense was eighth in points given up and 11th in shooting allowed. The last four regular-season meetings between these teams were defensive battles, too, in final scores of 105-98, 106-96, 91-90, and 99-93. The wagering value is on the home team to win the game and a defensive first half. Play Golden State on the moneyline + First Half UNDER the total.