Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic Point Spread Picks

Orlando has had two chances to pull a huge upset and end this series, but failed. They come off a 93-79 loss at home in Game 6, blowing a 24-point lead. The defense was 13th in points given up and 11th at defending beyond the arc during the regular season, and is fourth in points (100.2 ppg) and in shooting allowed in the playoffs, on an 8-2 run UNDER the total. The No. 1 seed Pistons have home court for Game 7 and will lean on a defense that is No. 1 in the postseason in points given up (98.3 ppg) and second in shooting allowed (40.4%). Detroit trailed by 22 at the half but dominated the second half on the road to keep its season alive against the stunned Magic. Back the home team in a defensive first half. Play Detroit + the First Half UNDER the total.

Two of the top four defensive teams in the playoffs meet for Game 6. That's no surprise, as during the regular season, Detroit was third in points allowed and in shooting allowed, and No. 1 in defending beyond the arc, while Orlando was 13th in points allowed. The Pistons ranked 27th from the free-throw line. They scored 105 and 88 points in Games 3 and 4 at Orlando, on a 34-26-1 run UNDER the total. Orlando's offense was 15th in points scored, 21st in shooting, and 27th from 3-point land, on a 9-5 run UNDER the total. With so much at stake, the wagering value is on a defensive first half. Take Detroit/Orlando First Half UNDER the total.

Combine the Pistons (-372) and the Cavaliers (-373) into a 2-team parlay at -163 odds.

Detroit has been plagued by slow offensive starts in the series, and the Pistons don't have the 3-point firepower to make up for it. The Pistons shot 44 percent while missing 21 of 32 from 3-point distance in Game 3. Orlando led 61-54 at the half and went ahead by 17 in the fourth quarter. Detroit erased that lead, then ran out of gas in a 113-105 loss. The Magic have been the more confident team, and they are on a current 6-3 ATS run. Orlando has won eight of nine home games against the Pistons, who are 5-10 ATS in the past 15 meetings. Detroit has averaged just 101.3 points in the first three games, and it has gone UNDER eight of 10 Monday games. The Magic have stayed UNDER six of their past seven games. Take the Magic, the first half UNDER and the game UNDER.

Detroit put on a tremendous defensive performance in Game 2, defeating the Magic 98-83, and the game went UNDER by 37.5 points. Game 1 went UNDER by 8.5 points. Orlando shot just 32 percent and 8-for-32 from the 3-point line. The game was tied at 46 at the half, and Orlando scored only 37 points after intermission. The Pistons have gone UNDER six of their past seven Saturday games. Orlando is on a current 6-0 UNDER run, and four of the past five meetings have stayed UNDER. The Pistons missed 20 of 26 from beyond the arc in Game 2 and shot 46 percent overall. Detroit is 22-17-2 UNDER on the road in 2025-26. Take the first half and the game to go UNDER.