Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic continues to be day-to-day with an elbow issue, but either way, Denver has beaten the Heat in nine of the past 10 meetings while covering the spread in seven of them, including a 135-122 victory on Nov. 8. The Nuggets had their four-game win streak snapped in a loss to Houston on Wednesday, but it was after they beat Dallas on the road the night before. Denver has covered its past four road games and it is 8-1 straight up against the Southeast Division. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS on the road against Miami and 11-3 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall. The Heat are just 2-6 ATS their past eight games and they have lost 12 of 17 January games outright dating to last season. Miami will be a tired squad as it just completed a six-game trip in a 10-day span and it lost the last two. Take the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets came out of the gate slow as they were 2-3 through five games. Despite injuries they have started to look like themselves over the past three games which are all wins. This team lost their first two games of the season where the offense averaged just 95.5ppg. They have really turned things up as the Nuggets are putting up 127ppg in their last six. Miami is struggling to find an identity, and they have started slow at 3-4. The Heat like a slow tempo and average just 105ppg. The difficult problem for Miami if they fall behind, is the firepower to come back is questionable and not how they are built. Denver is Denver right now, and I like them here. Mke the play on Denver.

These two are meeting for the first time since the NBA Finals when Denver beat the Heat in five games, and the Nuggets are on a four-game win streak after defeating Sacramento 117-96 on Wednesday night. Jamal Murray scored 32 points and the Nuggets overcame a 15-point second-quarter deficit and eventually built a 32-point lead. Miami is playing its sixth consecutive road game and third in four days and the Heat have won five in a row. Miami has gone UNDER 22 of its past 28 games and stayed UNDER by 10 points in its win over Portland on Tuesday. Denver has gone UNDER six of nine, including by 14.5 points against the Kings. The Nuggets are 10-3 UNDER as favorites and 41-20-2 UNDER following a win. Miami is 15-3 UNDER playing with one day of rest. Denver is 23-5 straight up at home. Take the Nuggets on the moneyline as a Max Play, and bet this game to stay UNDER.

Miami was the lowest scoring team in the league in the regular season and that got the Heat the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference and to the NBA Finals, but now it finally is starting to show that it won't be enough to win a championship as they haven't even made it to a 100 points in three of the first four games of this series. Miami has gone UNDER seven of its past eight games and three of four in the finals have stayed UNDER, including Denver's 108-95 win on Friday, which stayed UNDER by 8.5 points. The UNDER is 9-4 in the Nuggets' past 13 home games and Denver is 8-3 UNDER after winning by double digits its previous game. The Heat are 6-2 UNDER following a loss by at least 10 points. Take the UNDER as a Max Play.