Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis had its three-game win streak snapped in a loss to Minnesota on Thursday night. Ja Morant scored 36 points for the Grizzlies, who still couldn't offset the 44 points that Anthony Edwards poured in for the Timberwolves, who scored 52 points in the third quarter. Denver won in its new coach's debut and ended a four-game skid with a 124-116 victory over Sacramento. The Nuggets still are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games and 1-12 ATS in their past 13 home contests. Denver is 17-22-1 ATS at home this season, and Memphis is 21-18-1 ATS on the road. The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their past six games after a double-digit home loss, and the Nuggets are 0-7 ATS following an ATS win. Memphis is fighting to avoid the play-in tournament. Take the Grizzlies.

This is Denver's third straight game away from home and they've lost the first two at New Orleans (101-94) and Memphis (105-90). Nuggets star center Nikola Jokic has missed the last two games for personal reasons while starting forward Aaron Gordon (15.4 ppg) is recovering from a strained right calf. Jokic is listed as questionable tonight, and the offense has looked lost without him. Memphis is dealing with injuries, too, but has won five of its seven home contests. The fast pace that Memphis plays at led to 20 fast-break points against Denver, including a 14-1 second-quarter run. The wagering value is on the home team to win the game. Play Memphis on the moneyline.

Three teams are tied vying for the No. 1 seed and the Nuggets are one of them. Denver is on a 14-5 SU, 10-9 ATS run with an offense that is fourth in shooting (49.6%) and Top 10 from long range. The defense is sixth in points given up and fourth in field goal shooting allowed. Denver is 51-31 ATS after winning two of three. Meanwhile, Memphis has lost 11 of 15, last in the NBA in scoring and shooting (43.5%). The Grizzlies are on a 15-25 spread run at home. Denver crushed them, 128-103, last month and Memphis is 6-14 ATS revenging a double-digit road loss to an opponent. Play Denver. 

The Memphis Grizzlies won 115 games including the playoffs over the previous two years. This team has been riddled with injuries and have fallen to a woeful 24-47 this season. They have played better over their last 10 games as they rarely see an opponents "A" game as they are marked as an easy win. They lost nine games in November and December by 15 or more points, but in the last three months just eight. The Nuggets are last year's NBA Champions, and often get lines padded against them. They have struggled with those numbers on the road where they are just 14-21 ATS on the season, and have failed to cover their last three away from Denver. Make the play on Memphis.