Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City is 11-5 ATS following a double-digit loss, 5-2 ATS their past seven games playing with two days rest and it has covered five of seven as an underdog. All those trends will come in handy as they play Game 6 on the road against Dallas, which has a 3-2 lead in the series. The Thunder must play better defensively as the Mavericks shot 52.6 percent overall and 40 percent from 3-point range in Game 5. Oklahoma City missed 30 of 40 from beyond the arc and will need more help for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 30 points and no other Thunder player scored more than 13. The past three games have gone UNDER and the Thunder are 8-2 UNDER their past 10 games. The UNDER is 50-20-1 in the Thunder's past 71 games as road underdogs of 0.5-4.5 points. Take the Thunder and the UNDER.

Oklahoma City overcame a 14-point second-half deficit to even the series at two games apiece with a 100-96 victory on Monday night. The Dallas shooters went cold after the intermission and the Mavericks shot just 41 percent overall and 34 percent from 3-point range and they failed to take advantage of 13 blocked shots. Now the Thunder head home for Game 5 with plenty of momentum and confidence on their side as they somehow pulled out a win while shooting only 38 percent and hitting seven of 27 3-point tries. They figure to do a lot better on their home court and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander expects to get more help from his teammates after scoring 34 points in Game 4. Oklahoma City is 8-2 ATS following a win, 8-2 ATS as a favorite and 7-2 ATS its past nine home games. Take the Thunder as a Max Play. 

Oklahoma City is No. 1 in points allowed (95.3 per game) in the playoffs and in field goal shooting allowed (40.8%). During the regular season, they were 11th in points given up third in shooting allowed. OKC is 26-13 UNDER the total on the road revenging a loss to an opponent. They used a strong home-court advantage (33-8) to get the No. 1 seed in the West but were 24-17 straight up away from home. The Mavericks are on an 18-8 run UNDER the total. Dallas is six in points surrendered (103.6 per game) in the postseason and fourth in shooting allowed (44.1%) out of 16 teams. Dallas is 30-20 UNDER the total versus winning teams and 40-26 UNDER against teams that shoot 46%+ from the field. The Mavericks won two of three at home in the last series, including a Game 3 victory over the Clippers, 101-90, that sailed UNDER by 22 points. The Mavs are 32-21 UNDER after a victory, plus 38-23 UNDER at home after a spread cover. The wagering value is on the home team to win a defensive battle. Play Dallas on the moneyline and Oklahoma City/Dallas UNDER the total. 

Combine the Celtics (-900) and the Thunder (-190) into a 2-team parlay at -144 odds.