Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Point Spread Picks

Heat vs. Mavericks Spread Picks

Get Heat vs. Mavericks point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Heat vs. Mavericks game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -4.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 122.2 to 116.1 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on December 03, 2025 at 11:31AM ET.

NBA

Miami at Dallas

December 3, 2025

8:30 PM Eastern

Dallas seeks payback for a 106-102 loss in the first meeting on Nov. 24, when it shot only 39 percent and 12-for-40 from 3-point range. The Mavericks are home after winning the last two games of a four-game trip against the Clippers and Denver. Anthony Davis scored a season-high 32 points against the Nuggets. The Mavericks are 6-0-1 ATS in their past seven games against teams with .600 winning percentages, and they are 7-0 UNDER at home following a road trip of at least seven days. Dallas is on a 6-2 UNDER run, and it has gone UNDER six of seven Wednesday games. Miami snapped a 0-3 ATS skid with a 140-123 win over the Clippers on Monday. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their past five meetings at Dallas, and the Mavericks have gone UNDER six in a row against the Southeast Division. Three picks here: Take the Mavericks ATS (Max), bet Dallas on the moneyline, and play this game to stay UNDER.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Miami Heat

33

21

26

28

108

Dallas Mavericks

28

36

29

25

118

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on Miami Heat on the -7.5 ATS. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 123.3 to 115.4 with Miami winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 24, 2025 at 11:26AM ET.

PARLAY

Miami (NBA-506) MONEYLINE + Golden State (NBA-520) MONEYLINE

November 24, 2025

7:30 PM Eastern

Combine the Heat (-336) and the Warriors (-834) into a 2-team parlay at -221 odds.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Dallas Mavericks

19

25

28

30

102

Miami Heat

20

32

28

26

106

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the +3 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Miami would win by a score of 111.7 to 110.0 with Miami winning on the moneyline, Dallas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Miami Heat

22

34

27

30

113

Dallas Mavericks

21

34

29

34

118

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the +2.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 112.6 to 110.4 with Dallas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

O

F

Dallas Mavericks

28

23

33

30

4

118

Miami Heat

33

23

33

25

9

123

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -2.5 ATS. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 108.9 to 107.1 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Miami winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Dallas Mavericks

33

36

19

23

111

Miami Heat

24

23

27

18

92