Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic

Cleveland heads out on the road for a tough two-game trip at Orlando and defending champion Boston. They're 4-5 ATS in their last nine road contests. Orlando went through a brutal 10-20 stretch due to injuries, but they're healthy now on a 3-1 SU, 4-1 ATS run, including 3-0 ATS at home. The defense has been great all season, ranking No. 1 in the NBA in points given up (105.2 per game) and 11th in steals. Orlando is 18-11 at home and brings defensive intensity for an entire game, so back the home dog. Play Orlando. 

Orlando's offense is 18th in points scored and shooting, plus 21st from the free throw line. But the defense is sixth in points given up and ninth in field goal shooting allowed. Orlando held Chicago to 102 points and 42.9% shooting in the last game but lost, scoring just 99 points while shooting 40.7%. The injury to Banchero definitely won't do the Magic offense any favors. Cleveland's defense is fifth in points given up, sixth in field goal shooting allowed, and 10th at defending beyond the arc. These teams went 4-3 UNDER the total during their seven-game playoff series in April and May, with the scores of the four games in Cleveland 96-86, 97-83, 104-103, and 106-94. Take Orlando/Cleveland UNDER the total.

Cleveland is back home and that means it's the side to be on as the home team has won every game in this series. Orlando won Game 6 despite Donovan Mitchell's 50 points on Friday night and the game still stayed UNDER by for the fourth time in the series. The Cavaliers are 14-5 ATS as favorites of 0.5-4.5 points overall and 11-4 ATS at home in those situations. The Magic are 3-7 ATS as underdogs and 1-6 ATS overall their past seven road games. Cleveland is 9-2 UNDER its past 11 first round games and incredibly the Magic have gone UNDER 12 Sunday games in a row. Also, Orlando is 13-6 UNDER following a win. Orlando has averaged only 90.7 points in the three road games this series. Take the Cavaliers as a Max Play and the first half UNDER as a Max Play and also the full game to stay UNDER.

Orlando lost Game 5 104-103 when Evan Mobley blocked Franz Wagner's layup in the final seconds, but the Magic covered for the third straight game and now they're going home where they won Games 3 and 4 by an average of 30.5 points. The Magic allowed only 86.0 points in those two wins and Cleveland has averaged just 93.8 points in the series. Paolo Banchero had 39 points, but he'll expect to get more help from his teammates as Wagner and Jalen Suggs were the only other scorers in double figures. Orlando is 35-17 ATS its past 52 games as a favorite and it has covered four straight with two days rest. The Magic are 35-15-1 ATS at home and 12-5 ATS as a favorite of 0.5-4.5 points. The Cavaliers now are 8-2 UNDER their past first round games and Orlando is 12-2 UNDER as a home favorite. The Magic are 42-24 UNDER their past 66 games in the first half. Take the Magic as a Max Play and the first half UNDER as a Max Play and also take the full game to stay UNDER as a Max Play.