Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Point Spread Picks

The Toronto Raptors are 21-15 on the season, which is currently suitable for 4th place in the Eastern Conference. They will host the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are 10th in the East right now and would be in the play-in round as the #10 seed. Toronto, however, has overperformed its numbers, meaning its record shouldn't be as good as it is. Toronto is outscoring its opponents by just one point per game, which would translate to a .500 team. Atlanta is 17-20 and is being outscored by one point a game. These teams have played just about even on the floor, and I like Atlanta in this one on the moneyline.

The Toronto Raptors are 20-15 on the season and remain on a course to be a solid playoff team at season's end. Atlanta has been on a different path as we approach game 41, the halfway mark of the NBA regular season by games played. The Hawks are 17-19 on the season. Atlanta lost a game in Chicago 152-150, and that game appears to be a turning point for the Hawks, who have played much better defense after the embarrassment. They are 4-2 to the UNDER in their six games before the defensive meltdown. Toronto has really turned up the defense as the Raptors are 8-2 to the UNDER in their last 10 games. The Raptors have allowed just 1 of their previous 21 opponents to shoot over 50%. I like the UNDER.

Toronto's rebuilding is over and now the Raptors have a set starting lineup with no major injuries. They anticipate a major improvement following a 30-win season with more depth and several reserves who are defensive stalwarts. They didn't shoot many 3s last season compared to the rest of the league, but the Raptors hope Brandon Ingram can help in that department after he played in only 17 games due to injuries. Toronto has covered four of five overall against Atlanta and five in a row on the road. The Raptors ended 2024-25 with an 8-2 ATS mark against the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is favored in this matchup due to the home court and the fact the Hawks have several additions, including Kristaps Porzingis and Nickeil Alexander-Walker, to complement Trae Young. The last meeting in January went UNDER by 21.5 points as Toronto won 117-94 at Atlanta. Toronto's defense should be much-improved this season and this is a high posted total. Take the Raptors and the UNDER.

Toronto has lost 13 of 17 against Eastern Conference opponents, and the Raptors have lost 19 of 21 road games. Atlanta seeks payback after losing to the Raptors 122-119 on Thursday when Scottie Barnes hit a floater with 55 seconds left to secure the win. The Hawks have gone UNDER four straight games with one day of rest, and they are 4-1 UNDER their past five games overall. Atlanta came back from a 17-point deficit on Thursday and actually led by six with just under five minutes remaining but ran out of gas. Look for the Hawks to stay focused for 48 minutes in this revenge spot, especially defensively. Take the Hawks and the UNDER.