Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Atlanta is on a 7-4 SU/ATS run, including a pair of straight-up wins as underdogs. Trae Young (24.1 ppg, 11.4 apg) is on track to lead the NBA in assists for the third time in the last four seasons. The offense is fifth in the NBA in scoring. While the Hawks are working on two days of rest, the Bucks are working on one day after a 116-107 loss at home to the Knicks as a favorite. They've dropped three in a row, looking road-weary after a five-game trip out Wet. Milwaukee is also the second-worst free-throw shooting team in the league (75%). Play Atlanta. 

Atlanta beat the Bucks 115-110 on Feb. 7 and it will try to win its second in a row after an impressive road win at Memphis 132-130 on Monday night. Caris LeVert made a layup as time expired, finishing with 25 points for the Hawks, 16 in the fourth quarter. Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS its past four road games against teams with winning home records. The Bucks are 12-18 ATS on the road this season and Atlanta is 9-4 ATS its past 13 games overall. The Hawks trailed by 13 points with a little more than nine minutes left against the Grizzlies and they will carry that momentum over to this game as they battle for a playoff spot. Take the points with the home underdog Hawks.

The Milwaukee Bucks traded Middleton for Kuzma, and he will be a game-time decision tonight as he is listed as questionable. Giannis Antetokounmpo is dealing with knee soreness is also doubtful. Additionally, Damien Lillard is a game-time decision with a groin injury. Brook Lopez is also on the injury report with a knee injury. That is a lot of production that will either be missing tonight or less than 100%. This looks like a tough line for the Bucks who are dealing with many health issues from starters. Atlanta has been playing poorly at 1-9 in their last 10 games, but this game looks a lot more like a toss-up with all the injuries to key players the Bucks are dealing with. When Atlanta comes into a game this season after losing four or five of their last six games, they are 13-2 ATS. Make the play on Atlanta.

Atlanta beat the Bucks 119-104 on Dec. 4, and now Milwaukee can avenge that loss in the semifinal of the Emirates Cup In-Season Tournament in Las Vegas. The Bucks come off two wins against Brooklyn and Orlando, and they shot 55 percent against the Magic on Tuesday. Giannis Antetokounmpo poured in 37 points, and Damian Lillard added 28 points. Orlando was held to six of 27 from 3-point range. The Hawks were crushed by Denver 141-111 before beating New York 108-100 on Wednesday. Atlanta is 11-15 ATS this season and 6-14 ATS in its past 20 games against the Central Division. Milwaukee has won nine of its past 11 games overall, with the only losses against the Hawks and Boston. Take the Bucks.

Atlanta is suddenly on a winning streak having won its past four games and covering the spread in three of them, including a 124-112 victory over New Orleans on Monday when Trae Young had 12 points and 15 assists for his 15th double-double of the season. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS as road underdogs of 0.5-4.5 points and Milwaukee is 0-3-1 ATS playing on no rest. The Bucks have won seven in a row, but only one of those opponents is above .500 and they are just 4-4-1 ATS their past nine games. The Bucks have covered one of their past five against Southeast Division teams and they are 4-6-1 ATS at home this season. This is a lookahead game for Milwaukee, which has Boston on deck. Take the Hawks.