Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Atlanta looks to bounce back from an off-shooting night when it hit only four of 21 3-point tries and shot 38 percent overall in losing 120-95 to Orlando. Trae Young led the Hawks with 28 points, but got so frustrated that he was called for two technical fouls and was ejected with 4:47 left in the game. The teams split four meetings this season, and the Hawks are in double revenge after losing the last two, including 122-112 on March 27. Atlanta has been 4-0-1 ATS in its past five games following a loss, and Miami is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite with 0.5-4.5 points. The Heat shot 49 percent and went 13-for-35 from 3-point range, defeating Chicago 109-90. The Hawks must focus on Tyler Herro, who scored 38 points while hitting his first eight shots against the Bulls. Miami is 2-8-1 ATS in its past 11 on the road against teams with winning home records, and it is a pick or a slight favorite in this matchup. Take the Hawks on the moneyline.

The Miami Heat are trying to put the Jimmy Butler saga behind them, but they have lost two straight games and overall, this team is a mess right now. Miami has been a solid defensive team all season. The Heat are allowing opponents to score 112.2 PPG in their last 14 contests. Atlanta and Miami just met two nights ago in a game that was very low scoring and I think we will see this one play out with a similar theme. These teams have seen the UNDER go 7-4 in their last 11 meetings, and I look for more of the same in this one. Make the play UNDER the total. 

A good matchup for Miami. The Heat shoot 37.8% from 3-point land, the third-best in the NBA. The defense is sixth in points given up and 12th in shooting allowed. The defense has been in fine form in the last two games, shutting down Brooklyn (110-95) and winning at Orlando (89-88) as an underdog. They face an Atlanta defense that is 27th in points surrendered, 20th in shooting allowed, and last at defending beyond the arc. The Hawks are on a 15-26 spread run. Play Miami.