Karol Rosa is a big favorite but has lost two of her last five fights. She has plenty of knockout potential, but note that four of her last five bouts have gone the distance. She comes off a split decision win in her UFC debut over Lara Fritzen Procopio, but it was close as the judges scored it 28-29, 30-27, and 29-28. The challenger, Vanessa Melo, has a winning MMA record. She's lost her only two UFC bouts, but both went the distance. She is very good at playing defense and taking it the distance with nine straight fights going to the judges. Melo avoids submissions and getting knocked out. She matches up well to draw this fight out and is capable of pulling the upset. Back Vanessa Melo to win the fight.