39-year old Matt Brown is 3-6 in his last nine fights. He also lost by submission 10 times in his career and goes up against a young up-and-coming fighter in this weight class, 27-year old Miguel Baeza. Baeza is 8-0 in his MMA career, winning his UFC debut in his last fight, beating Hector Aldana by TKO in the second round. He is undefeated as both an amateur (5-0) and a professional. For this match, Baeza has a big edge in age along with a two-inch height advantage. He also has athleticism on his side and can outwork Brown by moving while deciding when to pick his spots offensively. Back Miguel Baeza to win the bout.