Kyle Nelson has a losing UFC mark (1-2) and hasn't fought since last September. He's an average puncher (2.73 significant strikes), but his striking accuracy is poor (36%). The major downside is that he takes enormous punishment, absorbing a whopping 6.35 significant strikes. He's going to have to grapple and try for a late submission win int his one, though his takedown accuracy is just 16%. All of that will be a problem against a talented and powerful fighter in Billy Quarantillo. Quarantillo is 14-2 in MAA action and has won seven bouts in a row, including 2-0 in the UFC. One of those was a submission victory over Jacob Kilburn in the second round, so he's capable at this level of performing on the mat. However, his forte is knockout power, averaging 7.43 significant strikes per minute with 79% accuracy. He's won four of his last six fights via TKO, and he holds all the key indicators in this matchup. Back Billy Quarantillo to win the bout.